A few days have passed since the unveiling of all the entries for this year’s Eurovision season, which is why one of Eurovisionfun ‘s most beloved and talked about columns is back, with the Eurovision 2024 betting analysis back again.
As you prepare for the pivotal next few days with the start of the pre-parties, the bookers have already got down to business, with the Eurovision 2024 winner section already being offered to all bookmakers. So, we’re taking the opportunity to bring you the so far for the next competition.
Croatia is the only first
The situation at the top may be unchanged, with Croatia remaining in first place for almost three weeks now, but nevertheless the distance between the Balkans and their pursuers is growing. With a month and a half to go before the 68th Eurovision Song Contest, the possibility of Croatia achieving its maiden victory in the contest is looking increasingly likely. Baby Lasagna ‘s victory is currently being bet at odds ranging between 3 and 4, the lowest ever offered for a Croatian entry.
In second place, but clearly trending downwards, is now Ukraine. With the gap to the leading Croatia having widened, bookers are offering Alyona Alyona & Jerry Heil ‘s victory at the highest odds we have seen offered during this year’s Eurovision season. Ukraine ‘s fourth win in the Eurovision Song Contest is currently being staked at odds between 5 and 7.
In third place is Italy, with their odds dropping daily and coming close to those of Ukraine. Between 6 and 8 times the stake is currently returning Angelina Mango ‘s victory with “La Noia“, for those who believe in a second Italian victory in the current decade.
Switzerland remains in fourth place, trailing Italy by a foot. Switzerland ‘s victory is being bet at odds between 5 and 8.5, with Nemo ‘s “The Code” gaining ground day by day and being one of the big winners in recent weeks following the official release of the Swiss entry.
Finally, the top five is completed by the Netherlands. If we’re talking about winners of the last weeks, surely the Eurovision 2021 host could not be absent from the discussion, with Joost Klein ‘s “Europapa” having impressed and sweeping the charts and streams in much of the Old Continent, being one of the dark horses of this year’s contest. Between 9 and 11 is the odds on the Dutchman’s win in Malmö, well lower than in our last analysis.
Top 10
With the countries in the Top 5 having stood out in comparison to those below them in the betting tables, let’s take a look at the rest of the top ten. In sixth place is Belgium. Belgium ‘s win is being bet at odds between 11 and 15, being marginally lower compared to our last analysis, with bookies giving Mustii and ‘Before the Party’s Over‘ respectable odds for a positive result in Malmo.
The big winner of the last few days is, of course, Greece. Greece has moved up to seventh place, being eight places higher compared to our analysis ten days ago after the national finals. Marina Satti and “ZARI” are gaining ground, with bookers having placed Greece in the highest position it has been this year during the Eurovision season.
Marina Satti ‘s win is currently being played at odds between 13 and 21, with the popularity that the Greek entry is gaining day by day has seen its odds halved and bookers giving a vote of confidence to the Greek entry.
Eighth place is held by Israel, which has also gained ground in recent days, moving up two places. The release of “Hurricane“, which Eden Golan will compete with in Malmö, has brought down the odds of Israel winning, which is being played at similar prices to those of leading Greece. Israel’s win returns up to 21 times the stake.
Ninth place went to France, which has been trending slightly downwards in recent days following the release of all the songs that will compete at Eurovision 2024. Up to 34 times the stake is returned by “Mon Amour” and Slimane.
Sweden completes the top ten. The multiple winner of the contest and host this year is steadily losing ground, being one of the biggest losers of recent days. Sweden ‘s home win is offered at odds between 19 and 36, dropping compared to our last analysis and dropping this year’s hosts by three places, bringing Marcus & Martinus to the edge of the Top 10.
Do you think Baby Lasagna will be able to give Croatia its maiden victory as an independent country in the Eurovision Song Contest? Tell us in the comments!
